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Forex For You Today
EUR/USD Prepares for its Most Important Week in Months (If Not Years!)
Time to buckle up. Volatility is a near-certainty across EUR-crosses at the end of the week, with the ECB meeting on Thursday, both Draghi and Yellen speaking on Thursday, and the November US NFPs on Friday.
Weekly Trading Forecast: Expect FX Volatility with NFPs, ECB and Much More Ahead
Coming off a holiday-tempered trading week, markets will be thrown right back into a period with shocking volatility potential. With key event risk every day each week, volatility and complacency may pose a severe risk to markets.
US Rate Speculation Versus a Tumultuous World of Fundamentals
The week ahead is the antithesis of what we have come to expect from December.
Australian Dollar Faces Perfect Storm of Key Event Risk Ahead
The Australian Dollar faces a perfect storm of volatility in the week ahead as high-profile event risk on the homegrown and the external fronts looms ahead.
How Much Air is Left in Gold Prices?
The past six weeks have been brutal for Gold, and this was really sparked by rate hike expectations out of the Federal Reserve, as the top in Gold meshes well with the bottom in the US Dollar (both taking place on October 15th).
How to Avoid a Liquidity Trap
As the Fed nears what many expect to be the first rate hike in nine years, we may be nearing a watershed moment. Be careful, and don’t get snared by a liquidity trap.
Chinese Stocks Get Slammed as Regulators Pull Back Support
The Shenzhen Composite is up by 50% since Mid-September, and regulators are rolling back emergency measures. But are markets ready?
Why The Australian Dollar Is Beating the GBP and Euro
The better than expected unemployment rate suggests that markets are too gloomy on the RBA, and I expect traders to unwind their bets on RBA rate cuts if the unemployment rate holds
Chinese Supportive Measures Lift Copper while Soft Data Dampens Oil
Oil falls on tepid China's industrial profit data, amid constant pressure from supply glut, while Copper rallies as more reports emerged that China could buy up surplus and curb short-sales
The Flipside of Mario Draghis Congested Trade
We're coming into another environment where no forecast is too bearish for the EUR, and that could be bullish should the ECB disappoint traders.
Fed Rate Hike Cycle Doesn’t Necessarily Bode Well for US Dollar
Higher interest rates tend to support a stronger currency. For the US Dollar, gains after a December Fed rate hike are anything but certain.
Currency Swings in Thin Markets to Struggle for Follow-Through
Currency market swings registered in thin liquidity conditions are unlikely to find follow-through and may see swift reversals after participation returns to normal levels.
Copper Jumps to Report China Will Probe Short Sales; Oil, Gold Steady
Copper, metals jump after report that Chinese regulators may investigate short-selling. Oil steadies following a drop in rigs and stocks
AUD/NZD Pullback Testing Pivotal Support
A multi-year slope pivot appears to be providing interim support after hitting two-month highs this week. Here are the updated targets & invalidation levels that matter.
USD/JPY Continues to Coil Ahead of Japan CPI, Month-End Flows
Following the breakout from earlier this month, USD/JPY appears to be coiling for a move higher as it preserves the range from the previous week.
The ECB Fires a Warning Signal, but Will They Deliver in December?
Much of the world is walking into the December ECB meeting expecting an increase to QE, but if history is any guide, we may just have to wait.
US Dollar May Rise on PCE Data, Thin Trade May Boost Volatility
The US Dollar may rise as the Fed’s favored inflation gauge hits a 10-month high. Kneejerk volatility may be amplified in thinning pre-holiday trade.
Oil and Gold Prices Rise on Geopolitical Tension while Metals Recover
Oil rallied to political risk and physical demand as gold also rode the flight to safety. Metals got a lift from oil gain and lower US dollar
GBP/JPY Plummets Into Support- Sell Rips Sub 186
GBPJPY reversed off key resistance last week with the recent sell-off approaching initial support. Here are the updated targets & invalidation levels that matter.
USD/CAD Outlook Mired by Failed Test of September High
USD/CAD may struggle to retain the bullish formation carried over from the previous month as the pair fails to test the September high (1.3456).
The Top Three Risks Facing Global Markets Right Now
While much of the world looks to the Fed in mid-December, a litany of risks are under our feet. In this article, we look at the top three.
EUR/USD, GBP/USD Best Ways to Express Bullish USD Bias
It's important to keep in mind the "forest" the next two days.
Strong US 3Q GDP to Fuel EUR/USD Selloff- April Low on Tap?
Signs of a stronger recovery in the U.S. economy may produce fresh monthly lows in EUR/USD as it boosts bets for a December Fed rate-hike.
Oil Price Calms after Saudi-Led Rally; Copper Nears Multi-Year Low
Commodities trade in range after an oil rally as Saudi called for price moderation. Copper and gold prices lingers near multi-year lows
Pound Eyes Carney Comments, Euro May Overlook German Data
The British Pound looks to testimony from BOE Governor Carney for direction. The Euro may ignore German GDP and IFO data as near-term ECB bets predominate.
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