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Weekly Trading Forecast: Will Fed and Greek Elections Keep FX Volatility Boiling
We are already off to a volatile start to 2015, and the coming week presents high-level event risk that will likely keep those activity levels high.
Dollar and S&P 500 Traders Hold Breath for Fed Decision
In the past few weeks, we have seen a nearly universal dovish shift in global monetary policy.
New Zealand Dollar May Rise as RBNZ Maintains Hawkish Rhetoric
The New Zealand Dollar may rise as RBNZ rhetoric after next week’s rate decision maintains a hawkish lean, clashing with a dovish shift in market expectations.
Bullish USD/JPY Outlook Vulnerable to Less-Hawkish Fed, Dismal US GDP
The fundamental developments due out next week may undermine the bullish forecasts surrounding USD/JPY should the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) scale back its hawkish tone for monetary policy.
Gold Rally Fizzles Ahead of FOMC, US GDP- 1263 Key Support
Gold prices are higher for a third consecutive week with the precious metal rallying 0.91% to trade at $1292 ahead of the New York close on Friday.
British Pound Likely to Rally if Critical US FOMC Meeting Disappoints
Extremely stretched price and positioning raises the risk of a GBPUSD bounce, but what could reasonably force the Sterling higher?
EUR/USD Open Interest Declines Ahead of Greek Election, FOMC
EUR/USD remains vulnerable to a further decline as market participants turn their attention to the Greek election and the FOMC rate decision on tap next week.
EUR Tumbles Post-ECB; Does New QE Program Live Up to Hype?
The ECB has finally joined the QE party, albeit five-years late...
USD/CAD to Threaten Near-Term Resistance on Dismal Canada CPI
Canada’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) may spark another topside run in USD/CAD as slowing inflation fuels bets for another Bank of Canada (BoC) rate cut.
Pound Eyeing Carney Comments for Guidance, Euro to Look Past PMIs
The British Pound is looking to comments from BOE Governor Carney for direction cues while the Euro is likely to overlook January’s flash PMI data set.
Dollar Charges Higher as Policy Contrast Draws Focus to Fed
While this past session’s top event risk – the ECB’s stimulus announcement, it was the Dollar that gained the most from the news.Why should another wave of global stimulus support the Greenback?
Gold Stalls at Technical Resistance- Remains Constructive Above 1262
The rally has extended into resistance just above $1300 with our long scalp-bias now at risk below this mark. Here are the updated targets & invalidation levels.
EUR/USD Downside Targets Remain Favored- 1.1300 in Focus
EUR/USD remains at risk for a further decline over the near-term especially as the bearish RSI structure continues to take shape.
T-Minus 0: Trade Setups in EUR as ECB Prepares for QE Liftoff
The moment we've all been waiting for since early-December has finally arrived. Will speculation around the ECB live up to the hype?
Bearish EUR/USD Outlook Favored Ahead of ECB as RSI Holds in Oversold
EUR/USD remains vulnerable to a further decline on the back of more ECB easing especially as the RSI continues to trade in oversold territory.
Scalping NZD/JPY Breakdown- Shorts Favored Sub 90.00
A break below near-term support & the weekly opening range keeps our short scalp bias in play. Here are the updated targets & invalidation levels.
SNB Action Leaves Risks Sky-High Ahead of Critical ECB Decision
The Swiss National Bank caused substantial FX volatility as it abandoned a key promise. Why does this raise risks ahead of the European Central Bank decision?
Retail FX Remains Net-Short EUR/USD Ahead of ECB Meeting
The DailyFX Speculative Sentiment Index (SSI) shows the retail FX crowd remains net-short EUR/USD ahead of the European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate decision.
T-Minus 1: Setting EUR Expectations for Tomorrow’s ECB Meeting
The hurdles for tomorrow's ECB meeting are rather high. Here's what we're looking to hear, and how it might impact the Euro.
GBP/USD to Mount Larger Rebound on Strong U.K. Labor/Wage Report
A further expansion in U.K. job and wage growth may trigger a larger rebound in GBP/USD as it boosts bets of seeing the BoE normalize monetary policy in 2015.
AUDCAD Long Scalp Bias at Risk Ahead of 9928 Resistance, BoC Meeting
The AUDCAD is eyeing a key resistance region with our long scalp bias now at risk sub-9928. Here are the updated targets & invalidation levels.
NZD/USD 0.7600 Support at Risk on Dismal 4Q New Zealand CPI
NZD/USD may threaten the key 0.7600 support zone should New Zealand’s 4Q Consumer Price Index (CPI) drag on interest rate expectations.
T-Minus 2: Trade Ideas Before ECB Comes to Town
There are still a few days before the ECB unveils/doesn't unveil a QE program, but that doesn't mean opportunities aren't afoot.
Euro May Overlook German ZEW Data as Traders Await ECB Meeting
The Euro may look past Germany’s ZEW investor confidence survey as markets await this week’s much-anticipated ECB meeting before committing directionally.
Forex Volatility Risk Substantial on Key Week Ahead
Unexpected Swiss National Bank moves leave markets on edge, and high forex volatility prices warn of major market moves. Here’s what we’re watching.
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